Thursday, December 19, 2019

Enhancing Competitiveness of MSMEs in Slowdown


Strategies for enhancing Competitiveness of Manufacturing MSMEs:

Muted manufacturing with PMI just around 51, a fall from about 54 almost couple of years back, increasing protectionism of the US, UK with the BREXIT winning a thumping majority for Boric Johnson and global trade winds heading to recession have taken the toll of India’s growth story. Industry would face more challenging times than before due not merely to adverse headwinds on external trade but the turbulence in the domestic economy. Enhancing competitiveness for manufacturing firms in the small sector has several challenges and these can turn into opportunities for growth.

Inefficiency, increasing fraud rates and faulty Bank Balance sheets of almost all the major Banks in India compounded the woes of domestic debt markets. No surprise that the equity suppliers like the VCs and Angel Funds are distancing themselves. The impact is the most on the vulnerable – MSMEs, particularly in the manufacturing segment. The thriving or successful even in this current environment are those SMEs in the Defense, Aerospace, Gems & Jewelry, pharmaceuticals and a few agro-industries linked to market giants like the ITC.

Nobody can have a guess of how many MSMEs shut their shops due to the Banks’ unwillingness to revive despite the RBI and GoI instructions as no ‘exit’ statistics are captured. The corporate sector exits alone show up in the data because the Ministry of Corporate Sector statutorily demands it and IBC has become a barometer for industry and financial institutions’ health.

Banks never gave data on number of units financed or closed but only number of accounts. Each unit can have number of accounts: term loans for specified purposes; working capital – cash credit, overdraft, SME Plus, etc., and unfunded limits like LCs, Guarantees etc.

Since 98 percent of the MSMEs are either partnerships or proprietary and are linked to onetime registration on Udyog Aadhar, there is no way the closed shutters get into the data. Even the industry and trade associations do not get a wind of the closures as several so-called members are irregular in the payment of membership subscription annually.

This scenario leaves the policy maker to public noise and a wild hunch. Every State is concerned about improving the ecosystem for the MSME sector and more in conjunction with the Union Government. States do know that a robust MSME sector is a red carpet for the global investors. However, improving the MSME competitiveness remains the biggest challenge and it requires a more holistic approach than now.

Information asymmetry and adverse selection continue to be the biggest blocks for institutional interventions, both financial and non-financial. Several MSMEs complain of a serious setback due to demonetization and GST. The reasons for such a far cry should be seen in the advantages they got without them: cash sales not routed through the bank accounts and yet several MSEs thrived until their debtors ditched them; inventories over-invoiced could get into the recorded working capital cycle with banks as the banks have been going by what is shown to them instead of what they should see and count for want of field visits; there have been many qualified ‘account experts’ to show the convenient excel spread sheets for securing working capital limits from banks; the small volumes these enterprises produce and the small size of the firms have also distanced them from the reach to markets; and there have been very few mentors and counsellors to advise responsibly either from the financial institutions or others to advise the units right financial discipline would get them all the gains they are looking for as also their entry to new markets.

GoI on its part, unleashed MUDRA, SME99Minute Loans and whipped up the Shamiana Camps that could give the lever to the FM to announce that the Banks sanctioned 8lakh loans amounting to Rs.70000cr in just two months, which they could not do for years!! Future NPAs would show the unknowns and unseen among such crowd. Dy. Governor, RBI recently sounded the alarm on the growing MUDRA account NPAs.

MSMEs on their part should earn their right to grow by following best accounting practices. Working capital management basically rests on four important factors:
       Predictability of Cycle
       Material flows
       Receivable – overdue
       Independent Credit rating agencies’ assessments.

Some more essentials are set out below:
(i) Realistic Assessment of Morale Building Assurances: MSMEs would be well advised to cautiously assess morale building assurances during the current slowdown of the economy. MSMEs which accepted such assurances in the backdrop of global recession of 2008 and built up capacities and kept up production levels, resulting in very high inventories, were devastated. Furthermore, when demand for a product falls, there could be pressures on small enterprises not to cut output as this would eventually result in labour lay- offs. Units that accepted such suasion faced disastrous outcomes.

(ii) Capacity Expansion: Quite often, MSMEs come to the erroneous conclusion that their product would experience an unrealistically high increase in demand. Units which build up capacities on tenuous information invariably end up with serious problems. In a savagely competitive environment, it is these small units that end up in ‘fire sales’ which are available to buyers at attractive prices. There is merit in building up financial resources to avail of such opportunities rather than increasing the capacity of their existing units. It is time to realize that coopetition would bring better synergies among similar producers to meet up with temporary surge in demand.

(iii) Interest Rate Cycles and Excessive Dependence on Bank Credit: During the expansionary phase of the credit cycle, banks are only too willing to lend but during the downturn small borrowers are invariably the first casualties in being denied additional credit. As an abundantly prudent measure, MSMEs are well advised to seek bank credit essentially for inventory financing but be very cautious when using bank finance for capital expenditure. Excessive borrowing for capital expenditure generally puts MSMEs in to distress during cyclical movements in the economy. It is good to learn to build equity gradually from out of the revenues and avoid excess leverage. They should learn to conform to financial discipline when alone they will win the trust of investors. Strategic partnerships are best bet in times of stress and not overindulging in debt. It is good news for the MSMEs that Government of India has extended the Interest Subvention Scheme up to March 2021.

(iv) Importance of an Appropriate Exchange Rate: MSMEs account for about 40 per cent of exports. It is unfortunate that there is a widely held perception that a strong rupee exchange rate reflects good macroeconomic management. This is clearly erroneous. Large industry is generally import intensive while small industry is export intensive. Hence a strong exchange rate of the rupee (i.e. an overvalued rupee) helps large industry and hurts MSMEs. It is not as if the exchange rate should be excessively undervalued. As a rule of thumb, over the medium/long-term, the nominal exchange rate of the rupee vis-à-vis the major industrial country currencies, should be adjusted downward based on the inflation rate differentials between India and the major industrial countries. An overvalued exchange rate makes MSMEs uncompetitive in international markets. MSMEs should not attempt to be forex traders; they should concentrate on their own line of production.

As a staunch optimist and believer in the excellent capabilities of MSMEs in innovation, incubation and future growth, least expensive handholding, mentoring and counselling as process consulting tools have immense scope to become highly competitive both domestically and globally if certain synergies are built into the system. Telangana Industrial Health Clinic Ltd has adequate capabilities in this exclusive portfolio of handholding, mentoring and counseling as a preventive and stress relieving measure.

Supply Chain to Value Chain:
There is need for building ‘pools’ or aggregators to gain both cost advantage and brand image through co-branding of products.

India Mart are trying to do supply chain aggregation. MSME online Bangalore is also trying to evolve an ecosystem where a lot of questions of MSME are getting answered by about 50 consultants and they have started CEO Club for taking MSME entrepreneurs to next level by having a monthly meeting. Jeevan is trying to develop a 360' view for developing the ecosystem in Hyderabad on Hub and Scope model. These are welcome initiatives, no doubt. They need traction.
Many of the user population should not merely know such initiatives but should also know how best to access them. Second, by aggregators, I mean those that are fully capable of building a common brand for a set of products from the micro and small manufacturing enterprises through building also their capacities and capabilities to rise above their existing levels, introduce those practices and technologies that make them closer to the global standards even if sold in domestic markets and secure price at their doorstep within the promised wait-in period. These would mean investment on the part of aggregator and a price that the aggregator should legitimately get for such services without losing the competitiveness in the market. Ipso facto, it would mean that at the firm level, cost reduction should take place at each link in the value chain. There are different ways of doing it.

The Industry Associations can develop a Marketing Arm and establish net linkages with e-commerce players; 2. they can help the industry avail the host of incentives waiting to be used from the GoI-MSME schemes; 3. they can establish linkage with NSIC, MSME-DI and such other institutions. 
MSMEs should earn their right to grow. This happens only when they are quality conscious where precision, functionality and producing premium products will be their driving forces. Their passion and pride rest on satisfied customer. Intellectual property rights, improved technology processes and getting equity to fund such technologies are all their sustainable future. Employee retention strategies depend not just on higher remuneration but on building trust and social cohesion as also gender equity.

MSMEs should also realize that death is a process of development. They must know when to exit from the enterprise and how. Strategies to clear sovereign dues and realization of overdue creditors on a mission mode pre-exit have a clear role. Ignoring them will be suicidal.

*Author of ‘The Story of Indian MSMEs: Despair to Dawn of Hope’ (2019) is an economist and Adviser, Government of Telangana, Telangana Industrial Health Clinic Ltd., Hyderabad (www.yerramraju1.com)



Tuesday, December 3, 2019

What went wrong with Mudra Loans?



Speed Thrills but Kills Too – A Story of Mudra Loans
B. Yerram Raju* & J. Sitapati Sarma**

The concerns on rising NPAs in Mudra Loans are red flagged by the Regulator starting from Shri Raghuram Rajan, followed by current Governor Shri Shaktikant Das and Dy Governor of RBI.   This only manifests the seriousness of the issue. 

The NPAs in Mudra saw a steep jump of 126% in one year – increased from Rs. 7227crore in FY 18 to Rs. 16481 crore in FY 19 with number of infected accounts totaling to 30.57 lakh. India Ratings and ICRA estimated NPAs under MUDRA between 10-15% as compared to 5.39% in March 2018.  Since the Mallya debacle, surging corporate NPAs are now in the company of their less endowed MUDRA borrowers pepped up by the Government.  Economy slowdown should have nothing to contribute to this sordid story.

What went wrong with Mudra Loans? 

Ever since the scheme has been flagged off in April 2015, the targets were not only set but closely driven breathing over the necks of the banks by the Ministry of Finance, to impress the importance attached to the scheme.  Bankers have exhibited more than required enthusiasm and competed with one another  to  achieve  targets to dwarf the peers before the Delhi bosses. 

While massive numbers are to be achieved within set deadlines, it appears that the appraisal was given a go by as hinted by the Deputy Governor urging banks to monitor repayment capacity of borrowers before disbursement.  All the targets – increased year after year - were achieved by not only PSBs but other participants too. 

The total sanctions till March 2019 since inception stood at Rs. 8.92 lakh crores.   The speed at which these loans are sanctioned can be noticed from the fact that Rs.18000 crore worth sanctions were pushed during the last 8 days of FY19 to achieve the target.  During FY19 an amount of Rs.970 crore was sanctioned per day by all Mudra Lending Institutions together. 

Coverage of these loans under Credit Guarantee Fund for Micro Units (CGFMU) up to Rs.10 lakh could be another reason for sloppy appraisal It is amply clear that these are push loans without proper appraisal and due diligence of the borrower.  Informed sources say that bankers chose this route to ‘evergreen’ their small ticket loans!  

The numbers reveal some different facts.  Of the total sanctions, the new loan sanctions hovered around 26% barring the first year of introduction where it stood at 36%.  Can we draw a conclusion that the renewals/existing loans accounted for larger share probably owing to evergreening process of existing loans with increased limits?  More than 70% of the loans are sanctioned under “shishu’ (Not exceeding Rs.50000), considered least risky in the portfolio. 

While Banks can finance up to Rs.10 lacs under the scheme, they preferred to keep the average ticket size to less than Rs. 1 lac.  To be more precise, the average ticket size of mudra loan increased from Rs.39405 in FY16 to Rs.52739 in FY18.  Statewise disbursals also indicate unequal distribution that also needs correction.

One way it is blessing in disguise; otherwise, the slippages and NPA accretion could have been higher.  But the only issue that remains in such small ticket loans is the adequacy of finance and resultant viability.   

During the current fiscal 29 million loans were disbursed amounting to Rs. 1.41 trillion, showing slight slowing down, against Rs. 3 trillion in the previous fiscal. Not even 2% has been sanctioned to the manufacturing enterprises because that involves onsite verification and follow up.  

The positive part of the story is employment creation.   As per an unpublished survey a total of 11.2 million new jobs were created in 2015-18, of which 5.1 million were new entrepreneurs.   If government were not to push for targets, Banks would not have touched these clienteles with a barge pole. It is however doubtful whether banks given a free hand would improve the quality of portfolio as everywhere else they had the free hand too, NPAs are surging ahead. Banks’ eye on quality has much to do with their knowledge, skills and attitude. All the three seem to be at low ebb.

Jandhan accompanied by savings and insurance and MUDRA led by credit with refinance and guarantee are two schemes of the most acclaimed inclusive agenda of NDA government. MFIs, Small Finance Banks also lent heavily along with PSBs in MUDRA realized that they did not have much to loose as the money to lend came from refinance window while post disbursement losses are guaranteed. Since the funds to MUDRA are from the Union Budget, the losses arising from the scheme devolve on the taxpayer.

RBI would do well to commission a detailed study of the portfolio and take corrective measures to ensure that the inclusive agenda of the government would not get undermined and the taxpayer is saved of the undue burden of the scheme.

Yerram Raju is an economist and risk management specialist and Sitapati Sarma is retired General Manager of SBI and present Chief Operating Officer of Telangana Industrial Health Clinic Ltd. The views are personal.
Published in Money Life on 2,12,2019 www.moneylife.in

Saturday, November 30, 2019

Rating the Ratings is imperative


CREDIT RATING – YET AGAIN ON THE BENDING MAT



It is three decades since CIBIL rating has commenced its operations and a decade since Brickworks has started. We also see the frequent sovereign ratings of Standard and Poor, Ind-Ra (Fisch) and Moody’s. Very recently, Nirmala Sitaraman, in the wake of serial failure of well rated corporates – eg., DHFL, IL&FS, and several other PSUs as well as Private Companies, mentioned her serious concern. Sovereign ratings are also not infallible. This article would like to see the present status and suggest the modifications.


“A credit rating is technically an opinion on the relative degree of risk associated with timely payment of interest and principal on a debt instrument. It is an informed indication of the likelihood of default of an issuer on a debt instrument, relative to the respective likelihoods of default of other issuers in the market. It is therefore an independent, easy-to-use measure of relative credit risk.”[i]

If a bank chooses to keep some of its loans unrated, it may have to provide, as per extant RBI instructions, a risk weight of 100 per cent for credit risk on such loans. Basel regulations provide for supervisors increasing the standard risk weight for unrated claims where a higher risk weight is warranted by the overall default experience in their jurisdiction. Further, as part of the supervisory review process, the supervisor may also consider whether the credit quality of corporate claims held by individual banks should warrant a standard risk weight higher than 100%.

The working of the entire rating system was questioned after the sub-prime crisis resulted in collapse of not just Fennie May and Freddie Mac but even UBS Credit Suisse, Citi group, Deutsche Bank etc. This led the US Fed and the Wall Street to revamp the entire rating mechanism after a careful study of the processes they followed and the measurement they gave to different parameters. But such changes are not followed uniformly across nations.

Theoretically, internal credit scoring models are effective instruments for the banks in loan origination, loan pricing and loan monitoring.  But the banks’ rating architecture is different from the rating agencies and this is one of the reasons for the regulator to insist on a rating review mechanism to be part of the Banks’ Credit Risk Management Committee. 

The rating process involves assessment of Business Risk arising from interplay of five factors: industry risk; market position, operating efficiency, financial risk and management risk. While industry risk and market position can be assessed from the macro level data, operating efficiency and management risk can be captured by observation, frequent interaction and experience. Unless cross functional, sectoral, trade data from all sources is available on digital platform and that too verifiable easily, the rating agencies are bound to err.

As per Basel II (2000): “An Internal Rating refers to a summary indicator of risk inherent in an individual credit. Ratings typically embody an assessment of the risk of loss due to failure by given borrower to pay as promised, based on consideration of relevant counter party and facility characteristics.  A rating system includes the conceptual methodology, management processes and systems that play a role in the assignment of a rating.”  Understandably, there was a collapse of the rating instrumentality looking at the collapse of the corporate credit and investments almost without notice. 

One of the common failings noticed by informed circles, for example, has been, a firm that owes to MSMEs beyond Rs.2lakhs should have been rated lower than those that would have paid promptly. Most corporates both PSUs and Private Companies were chronic defaulters and this came to surface more prominently in all the NCLT-dealt with cases. Second, poor governance should have got bad rating. Including Banks, PSUs and Private Companies fare badly and yet got good ratings!!

Ever since the Rating is mandated by the RBI while extending credit, we have seen phenomenal failures in the well-rated corporates both in the private and public sectors, e.g., DHFL, IL&FS. SMEs have no option but to get the rating of one or the other agency and yet, the Bank concerned would have its own rating that would decide the quantum of credit.

Measuring policy risks, sovereign risks and governance risks is the major challenge and this challenge has become visible in the recent corporate rating failures. Banks severely compromised by pitching high on CIBIL ratings and particularly, the individuals and Directors of the Companies. The thirty-year old CIBIL needs to amend its ways if the ratings book should be cleaned.

Technology disruption, easy regulations governing payment platforms, data on merchant performance, changes in consumption patterns, differential product regulations across the nations for similarly placed products and increasing protectionism are all the new risk areas for capture by the CRAs.

In so far as Indian financial sector is concerned, consolidation following the merger of PSBs, failure of NBFCs, Urban Cooperative Banks, and the lackluster performance of the MFIs, metrocentric banking are all new challenges to the CRAs. Telecom regulations and their interface with the payment and settlement systems, Internet of Things, Blockchain technologies are the new disruptors and even moderate margin of error can impact heavily and the rating can collapse. Further, product regulations have also become dynamic. In a way, all these aspects seem to have their shadow cast on the rating instrumentality as a risk mitigant.

There is therefore an imminent need for a High Level Committee of the SEBI, RBI, PFRDA, IRDA, and Telecom Regulatory Authority to examine the methodologies of CRAs for a more reliable rating process and pricing of rating agencies.


*Dr. B. Yerram Raju is an economist and risk management specialist and can be reached at yerramr@gmail.com Also see my blog on the subject June 11, 2011
Published in the Money Life on 28.11.19



























[i] Report of the Committee on Comprehensive Regulation for Credit Rating Agencies, Ministry of Finance, Corporate Affairs Division, December 2009

Thursday, November 28, 2019

Negotiating a Loan during Slowdown


Ten-Point Recipe for Loan Negotiation with a Bank in Slowdown


Most first generation entrepreneurs, CFOs and CEOs of mid-corporates find it tough to negotiate a business deal with a bank. Banks usually are tight-fisted in times of recession to grant enhanced limits. They also claim full information of the enterprise, ecosystem in which it operates and the depth of the export markets. They also have a track record and credit record of the enterprise seeking to expand its operations. Economy in slowdown is tough time both for Banks and Enterprises. One has to run twice the speed in slowdown to remain where they are like Alice in the Wonderland.

Exacerbated NPAs despite the IBC have made Banks risk averse. Increase in frauds further accentuated risk aversion. The enterprises requiring higher working capital and those in export markets requiring packing credit facilities are facing formidable challenges. However, Banks may not like to lose good clients. Further, particularly those in PSBs, are also under pressure from the government to expand the portfolio in farm and MSME sectors.

Banks also actively work on the recoveries, write-offs of NPAs and topping up their Balance sheets. They are under pressure on the Asset side of the Balance sheet and therefore, look for clients who, despite slowdown, come up with a good proposal. And a good proposal in their parlance means that they would have little to exercise their thinking. Their time is under pressure most times in video conferences, meetings, Seminars, publicity and several internal committees.

Look at Mr. Raman who understands the predicament of the current banker and who is a CFO of a mid-sized corporate entrusted with the task of increasing domestic market by 100% and overseas market of the Company’s innovated tablets and injections duly approved by the US Food and Drug Administration. He is sure that the Banks would not like to lose a good client for another bank. Since his Company has proven track record, he was hopeful of the deal for higher limits on both working capital and export packing credit.

He took an appointment with the GM (mid-corporates) of the Bank one fine morning. He did his homework well. He gathered full data of the enterprise; environment in which the entire industry has been working; economics of his proposal; the area into which the Company would like to expand; the types of clients the company are targeting; the distribution system of the new markets; the incentives Company has on table; the drug controls of both India and the Asian economies in which the Company is going to operate; the disease patterns there; government health care and insurance mechanisms; the IPR and above all the financials. He also worked on the stress testing of his projections.

He presumed that in the first instance the Bank would know of the enterprise and ecosystem equally well. He started off with all humility. During the discussions, when he noticed that Bank officials do not have half the information, he had either on the product or competitiveness but are looking at only the financials and spreadsheets and not the rationale behind them, he pitched his fork high. He left some issues deliberately for the bank to come up with subsequently. He did not press for a solution instantaneously. He left a cooling time with the Bank.

After three days, when the call came, he went with his accounting team and with the required project proposal in the bank’s usual format. He took care to ensure that no additional collaterals would be offered. He kept under his armpit the directors’ individual guarantee to offer when necessary. Finally, when asked, he just mentioned that it was the company’s intention to go for public issue at a propitious moment and raise equity to meet future needs and therefore, it would be difficult to offer the same at the moment. The deal got through.

The recipe is simple:

1. Do your homework well: know your own enterprise, its SWOT.

a. Brainstorm possible implications of the proposal with the Board and internal management.

b. Cushion the proposal with adequate collaterals and guarantees but keep it undisclosed.

c. Go as a team for presentation with your confident technical and financial team for discussion.

2. Do not thrust yourself at inconvenient times for the banker.

3. Be transparent during negotiations.

4. Be humble; but do not compromise on limits sought as it might affect profitability.

5. ERP will help keeping the data required by the Bank and tax authorities transparent and timely.

6. Go with a vision, objectives and goals for the future.

7. Keep also the succession plan ready.

8. Give reasonable time to the Bank to think and come back with their offer,  but indicate your expectation for the result and also indicate that a Bank and a leading NBFC have also indicated their willingness to look at the proposal to attract competitive pricing of the loan.

9. Post sanction and post disbursal, keep compliance of terms and conditions tidy.

10. Make sure of half-yearly review of the limits by the Bank by feeding the required data online.

The above principles work equally well for the MSMEs. Since the MSMEs lack the attributes of a CFO and accounting team, they need to look for committed process consultancy firms like the Telangana Industrial Health Clinic Ltd (TIHCL) who handhold them and help scaling up with strategic interventions at the right time.

Published in Telangana Today 

Thursday, November 21, 2019

Pre-Budget Blues for the Union Budget 20-21


Suggestions for the Union Budget 2020-21
Focus on Manufacturing MSMEs;

Industries should bloom like flowers 
We have the potential to overtake China if we trust our MSME sector more than now and provide long-lasting solutions.

Manufacturing Micro enterprises with specific focus on agro based industries and rural enterprises, which are unique and provide maximum employment need to be separated from Small and Medium enterprises and the existing MSME Act needs to be amended accordingly. All micro enterprises in future may be encouraged to be set up in clusters only with suitable infrastructure and marketing facilities. They should be enabled for scaling up and the required support system should come from the Entrepreneur Development Centres (EDCs), proposed to be co-located at the DICs. The DIC officials’ performance should be evaluated basing on the number of micro enterprises scaling up to small enterprises. Although this comes under the State domain, the Amended MSMED Act should provide for this appropriately.

The SMEs may be defined based on sales turnover and employment to incentivise them to join the formal sector and achieve GST compliance.

2. All the incentives from the government and other agencies to the MSMEs need to be linked to the employment they provide to people directly. 

3. All the subsidies and other payments by the governments and their bodies to MSMEs must be paid within 45 days from the due date. Any delay beyond this and up to 90 days should attract penal interest rate at twice the RBI repo rate. Delay beyond 90 days should be treated as criminal violation. Since the purchase and sale is a contract between the buyer and seller, Indian Contract Act should be amended appropriately, simultaneously.

4. An Independent Evaluation Office on the lines of IMF may  be set up as independent agency under Ministry of MSME/Finance/NITI Aayog to evaluate the policies, programmes, implementation and payments to MSMEs and submit a report to the Government for action and placing before the Parliament at the beginning of the Year.

5. SIDBI has had limited impact. The role and responsibilities of SIDBI may be re-examined by a High Level Committee.

Fiscal Incentives:
¡  2% to 5% of Income Tax / GST for up to every 10 in Micro & to every 25 persons employed in small evidenced by self-certified muster roll and corresponding increase in the expenditure on wages and salaries in the annual P&L statement.
¡  Micro: 1. No Cess on GST; 2. First 5 Years waive income tax for manufacturing enterprises
¡  Small: First 3 years for firms graduating from Micro exempt income tax; No corporate tax
¡  Small to Medium Enterprises: First 3 years 2% less than the usual Corporate tax for large enterprises;  
¡  Medium to Large Enterprises: First 2 years < 2% of the usual corporate tax applicable to the Corporates
¡  Technology: Micro to Small: transition with new or imported technologies – Duty to be exempted.
¡  Small to Medium: Duty to be 2% less than for large.
There should be no levy of Cess on export duties to enable the SMEs to be major contributors to export markets.

Banks and NBFCs helping revival of MSMEs:
Income Tax reduction of 1% if the institution revives 100 enterprises in a year – demonstrated by the increase in capacity utilization by 40% in six months from the date of revival for 80 percent of units revived.

Manufacturing Micro and Small Enterprises post revival earnings of up to Rs.5cr should be exempt from income tax.

With inputs from Dr. Subbaiah Singala, General Manager, CAB, Pune whose views are also personal.



Thursday, October 10, 2019

Institutions loosing their relevance


Agri, MSME DFIs are failing to meet their objectives

The focus needs to shift from public sector banks to NABARD and SIDBI, whose functions greatly differ from their intended role

When one sees high inflation, the RBI comes to mind. When capital markets misbehave, SEBI is on the radar. When an insurance problem surfaces, the IRDA comes into the picture. These are institutions with proven credibility.

But when credit does not flow to agriculture or when farmers commit suicide, why does NABARD (National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development) not come to mind? Why do farmers go to the government for a resolution? Similarly, when MSMEs do not get credit on time or do not get the services promised, why is SIDBI not under scanner? Why should the RBI still have a department to resolve issues relating to agriculture and MSMEs and prescribe priority sector boundaries, despite these other institutions?
Agricultural credit

NABARD, a statutory corporation, was set up in 1982, to take up the work of the Agricultural Refinance and Development Corporation (or, Agriculture Refinance Corporation, till 1970), as well as some functions of the Agriculture Credit Department.

The NABARD Act was passed in 1981. Its preamble states that it is: “An Act to establish a development bank...for providing and regulating credit and other facilities for the promotion and development of agriculture (micro-enterprises, small enterprises and medium enterprises, cottage and village industries, handlooms), handicrafts and other rural crafts and other allied economic activities in rural areas with a view to promoting integrated rural development and securing prosperity of rural areas, and for matters connected therewith or incidental thereto.”

NABARD is a development finance institution (DFI) established under the statute to serve the purpose of providing and regulating credit and other facilities for the promotion and development of agriculture. It started regulating cooperative credit, but that space was ceded to commercial banks. It also started with regulating RRBs, but most of them merged into larger entities and RRB branches are now mostly seen in urban and metro centres.

When the statute provided for regulation of credit to agriculture, why did the RBI continue to hold the reins? Is it because of lack of confidence in NABARD, or a reluctance to cede control?
The Rural Infrastructure Development Fund is administered by NABARD. Why should NABARD fund States for infrastructure projects, and in the bargain became a banker for the State — not for agriculture and allied activities, rural and cottage industries? It undertakes more treasury business (pure financial operations) than refinancing of cooperative banks and RRBs at very soft rates, and through them, lends to the farmers of all hues. There has been a compromise of objectives, with full concurrence of both the RBI and the government. NABARD’s income comes more from investments than refinancing or development projects.

Commercial lending

Let us see the other DFI — set up under a separate statute in 1989 — the Small Industries Development Bank of India, or SIDBI. There are several Centrally-supported ‘funds’ for the development of small enterprises. But there is no review in the public domain as to how these funds are performing.

The Centre established SIDBI Venture Capital and the ventures funded were of the real estate sector and MFIs. It has no credible record of financing and promoting micro and small manufacturing enterprises or clusters. SIDBI started direct lending sparsely, with a minimum of ₹50 lakh. It did not consider, during the first decade financing, SME marketing activity as a term lending portfolio. Manufacturing enterprises did not get venture capital at a lower cost than the normal venture capital funds.

Commercial objectives continue to govern its functioning. Its regional offices are so autonomous that they do not even consider responding to RBI guidelines. Most of SIDBI’s lending is through collateral securities. It basks under sovereign protection to diversified activities.

Schemes such as MUDRA, CGTMSE, 59Minute Loan are all under its umbrella, albeit indirectly. No one has questioned SIDBI’s way of functioning in relation to the objectives spelt out in the statute: “An Act to establish the Small Industries Development Bank of India as the principal financial institution for the promotion, financing and development of industry in the small-scale sector and to co-ordinate the functions of the institutions engaged in the promotion, financing or developing industry in the small-scale sector and for matters connected therewith or incidental thereto.”

Thus, both the DFIs targeting specific sectors are non-performers in their supposedly dedicated domains. At a time when the Finance Minister is keen on bringing about institutional reforms, she should shift her antenna from mergers to these two DFIs.
The writer is an economist and risk management specialist. Views are personal


Monday, October 7, 2019

Equity route the best for scaling up in MSMEs


Trust equity to transform MSMEs
Along with its good oversight, equity brings greater financial discipline right from the start
By Author
B Yerram Raju  |   Published: 7th Oct 2019  12:05 am Updated: 6th Oct 2019  10:17 pm
It is well known that the micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) live in debt markets in India unlike in many other parts of the world where they access equity and debt in reasonably good proportion. In India, 93% of MSME credit is flowing to just 13 States. This skewed distribution requires correction.

Of late, genuinely worried about the continual decline in credit to MSMEs, the government of India introduced MUDRA to comfort these enterprises with Shishu, Kishore and Tarun products. But not even 10% of the total 17 million estimated enterprises was in the manufacturing sector. Then the government introduced 59Minute loan window. Both these efforts have not improved grassroots lending to the sector.

Driven to the wall, the Finance Minister pushed the panic button asking banks to do aggressive canvassing of loans for MSMEs and retail in 400 district-level shamiana meetings. The FM must be aware of both adverse selection of beneficiaries and moral hazard consequences. She expects the banks to tackle them effectively.

Convenient Option

But are there no other means of meeting the financial requirements of MSMEs? Why is equity not being explored as a convenient option? Is it because of the unorganised nature of the sector or because of the undependable clients in the sector? Or both?

Debt has been the most convenient option driven by perverse incentives right from 1950 when the Industrial Policy was announced. Debt, apart from being less costly, takes less than 30 days to deliver while equity takes at least nine months, if not more, where the promoters are assessed through a rigid due diligence process and corporate governance and board rules are put in place before filing the IPO. This process can be shortened if the enterprise has credible historical data for the pre-launch and good governance structure.

Movement from micro to small and small to medium is more governed by greater stake of the promoters through equity infusion. Therefore, such a transition is also extremely slow.

Enabling Ecosystem

District Industrial Centres, introduced in 1980-81 when George Fernandes was the Union Minister for Industries, have been engaged by the State governments to dispense the incentives, raw material like coal, iron, and help in realisation of unrealised debtors through the MSE Facilitation Councils since 2006. The Facilitation Councils, however, did not succeed to resolve the problem of delayed payments to MSMEs.

Manufacturers are the worst hit. Hence, the FM came out with a strict mandate to the PSUs and Central government departments to pay up all their bills by October 15, 2019, and confirm. Hope this would provide a lot of liquidity to the beleaguered MSMEs.

For the transformation from debt to equity access, the ecosystem, capacities and capabilities of firms and the perceptions of entrepreneurs play an important role. Several entrepreneurs are knowledge-insulated and mostly unwilling to unlearn in their growth journey.

Successful Model

Equity firms can participate with the MSMEs over a seven-year period with a gestation period of 1-2 years. Revenue sharing is the model on which it operates and is assessed after sectoral analysis and exits at an appropriate time. The participating equity firm also keeps enhancing skills and scouts for market opportunities of the partner firm. The model is a success in the US.

This equity comes at a cost of 5% more than the market price of debt. But it brings along with it good oversight and greater financial discipline right from day one. Structuring finances and structuring enterprise during the growth is a seamless process.

Scaling them up requires a different level of investments to wean away the entrepreneurs from the protective environment to self-dependence. The biggest problem they invariably come across is the choice of directors for governance. While the Institute of Directors has got on its platform thousands of trained directors, accessing them at affordable levels and verification and validation of their credentials pose problems.

Incentivise Transition
With the economy targeted for $5 trillion by 2022, MSMEs as growth engines and seedbeds of innovation have a significant role to play. Such a role requires that they seamlessly migrate to a higher level of operations during the growth stage.

Fiscal incentives can help such a transition. Having eased the rules for FDI participation and amended the corporate tax structure, it is time to look at what best can be done to make MSMEs go for greater aggregation and contribute significantly to the growing economy.

We have the potential to overtake China if we trust our MSME sector more than now and provide more long-lasting solutions than kneejerk reactions.


Tuesday, October 1, 2019

Risk Management in Indian Banks and FIs need Improvement



The scale of frauds across the Banks in India, from cooperative banks to commercial banks crossing half a trillion rupees, ballooning NPAs, slow and untimely resolve of bankruptcy cases have exacerbated the credit and operational risks. Finance specialists add to them the impending climate risks.

The PMC Urban Bank is just the tip of the iceberg viewing from regulatory perspective. Lack of oversight is clearly visible. Appointment of Directors failed to honor the ‘fit and proper criteria’. IL&FS and DHL in NBFC space shook up the shadow banking as well. This situation raises more questions than answers and require a firm resolve to warding off financial risks sooner than later, much before they translate into macro-economic risks.

Post-recession (2008), when the regulators hurried to drive risk management and governance of risks relied on Basel Committee. The industry’s new-found focus on risk management was ‘driven largely by a survival mentality and regulatory requirements’, as pointed out by Clifford Rossi and not by internalizing the risk assessment processes and governance improvements.

Rating institutions gave exemplary ratings and yet there was collapse of corporate credit. Risk management committees were set up and Chief Risk Officers were appointed and yet the risk mitigation did not take place. Both the government – the owner of the largest banking space and the Banks do not speak of risk management as a factor that led to the recent surge in frauds. Every product and process in these institutions is put for risk assessment.

New schemes and new programs do not get assessed for all the risks. Institutional failure to unlearn from the past and complacence on the part of Banks and FIs would appear to be the main reason for the current imbroglio. Time is not unripe for a 3600 thinking on the subject to put in place a mechanism for risk management and governance.  Noticeably, it is the absence of risk culture that is to blame for the absence of risk governance, process, analytics and expertise.

Banks sit on a mountain of data and claim AI and MML are receiving their immediate attention. The questions that come to my mind are: why then the Banks and FIs are unable to put in place a risk-based pricing system for all their loan products? How is it they fund start ups in manufacturing and services at the same level of interest rates? Again, why an owner-driven or proprietary or partnership micro and small enterprise and a medium enterprise driven by a Board with competent directors are also charged the same price? Why the Banks that claim latest technologies in place failed to transmit the rate cuts of the regulator to the clients requiring a mandatory compliance to pare the rates of interest with the Repo rate?

First and foremost for correction, is the tacit acceptance of failure of governance unabashedly and move to a thorough clean up. The four regulatory institutions – RBI, SEBI, IRDA, PFRDA should sit together and review the rating processes of all the Rating institutions they approved. Rating should not lead to a regulatory arbitrage. A simple uncompiled directive like the corporate institutions should reflect the dues beyond Rs.2lakh per vendor MSMEs did not reduce the rating of many a corporate. Had this been done, many MSMEs would not have become NPAs. There would not have been any need for the FM to give specific mandates to clear the dues to MSMEs before October 15, 2019.
Institutions that are adept at rating corporates have a myopic view of MSMEs and such thinking is largely driven by false risk perception driven by the lenders! Watch out the data – micro and small enterprises constitute around 8% of the credit to them as NPAs and every NPA is not unrecoverable. Rating is also influenced by the collateral rather than the enterprise, entrepreneur and environment over which the Banks have data but with no required behavioral analytics.

I agree with Clifford Ross, the leading risk professional when he says: “Risk professionals need to use disruptive technologies and perhaps find other tools to more effectively assess non-financial risks (e.g., cyber and operational), which have grown substantially over the past five years.

For both financial and non-financial risks, the continued development of risk expertise is vital. A great risk professional possesses the following qualities: (1) a balanced and logical temperament; (2) experience, over-the-cycle; (3) critical thinking; (4) analytical leanings; and (5) an action-driven mindset. What's more, on-the-job training is essential, because we are all at least accidental risk managers.”
*The author of ‘Risk Management – The New Accelerator’, economist and risk management specialist. Can be reached through www.yerramraju1.com