Tuesday, June 30, 2015

Growth of the economy at 8%?

250mn poor of India are being ruled by over 500 crorepatis in the Parliament and thousands of such legislators in states. Arvind Panagariya, Vice Chairman NITI AAYOG would like to believe that the growth of the economy would hit 8% by the end of this year.

AGriculture with its 13.7% share in GDP providing sustenance to about 50% of population still is posing risks to growth. So is the MSME sector, not still the darling of credit agencies. Exports did not rise significantly during the first quarter.

One consolation is that on the external front we seem to be doing fine.Watch this in the backdrop of one week's closure of Greece Banking and Stock Markets.

 In fact, while one would very much like to be optimistic, the dreams of make in India being still in the dark, uncertainties on the farm front, manufacturing yet to gain, the buoyancy of tax collections still to surface, the sovereign debt continuing to rise, and the hidden inflation at embarrassing level, the hope of 8% for 2015-16 that too from the Aayog Vice Chairman is really fond. Adding fuel to fire is the current Greek Debt Crisis impacting on our engineering exports and rising exports is the hope of Arvind Panagariya.